BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 3A Class Rank: 12 Conference: (8-8) Overall: (11-12) Overall Strength =   95.57

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/05/2008 Home    W    88.93  76   70   2A   28 (19- 6) Wilton                 -6.64     12.64                      
  2 12/06/2008 Away    L    83.72  37   61   4A    6 (16- 7) CR Washington         -11.85    -12.15                      
  3 12/12/2008 Away    L * 100.08  41   48   4A    7 (18- 5) Pleasant Valley         4.51    -11.51                      
  4 12/13/2008 Away    W    95.57  44   40   EX   34 ( 0- 1) Orion IL                0.00      4.00                      
  5 12/20/2008 Neutral L    95.57  41   50   EX   15 ( 1- 0) Geneseo IL              0.00     -9.00                      
  6 01/03/2009 Home    W * 106.40  56   48   4A   18 (16- 7) Eldridge North Scott   10.84     -2.84  was 12/16 now 01/03 
  7 01/06/2009 Home    L *  85.74  42   57   4A   13 (16- 6) Davenport Central      -9.83     -5.17                      
  8 01/09/2009 Home    W * 117.15  89   57   4A   41 ( 7-16) Burlington             21.58     10.42                      
  9 01/13/2009 Home    L *  84.27  46   50   4A   35 ( 7-15) Davenport North       -11.30      7.30                      
 10 01/16/2009 Away    L *  97.10  27   44   4A    3 (21- 5) Bettendorf              1.53    -18.53                      
 11 01/20/2009 Away    L    83.51  56   80   3A    4 (18- 7) Dubuque Wahlert       -12.05    -11.95  was 12/09 now maybe 01/20
 12 01/23/2009 Home    W * 103.49  71   61   4A   26 (12-11) Clinton                 7.92      2.08                      
 13 01/24/2009 Away    W *  80.62  48   42   4A   48 ( 2-20) Davenport West        -14.94     20.94  was 12/18 now 01/12 now 01/24
 14 01/27/2009 Home    W * 107.85  78   48   4A   45 ( 2-20) Muscatine              12.28     17.72                      
 15 01/30/2009 Home    L *  94.99  54   63   4A    7 (18- 5) Pleasant Valley        -0.58     -8.42                      
 16 01/31/2009 Away    W *  99.24  68   57   4A   41 ( 7-16) Burlington              3.67      7.33  was 02/03 now 01/31 
 17 02/06/2009 Away    L *  88.49  36   49   4A   18 (16- 7) Eldridge North Scott   -7.08     -5.92                      
 18 02/10/2009 Home    W * 111.54  78   38   4A   48 ( 2-20) Davenport West         15.97     24.03                      
 19 02/13/2009 Away    W * 106.83  55   52   4A   13 (16- 6) Davenport Central      11.26     -8.26                      
 20 02/17/2009 Away    L *  85.36  48   54   4A   35 ( 7-15) Davenport North       -10.21      4.21                      
 21 02/20/2009 Home    L *  95.01  44   60   4A    3 (21- 5) Bettendorf             -0.56    -15.44                      
 22 02/23/2009 Away    W   108.17  55   40   3A   20 (13- 9) Central Clinton        12.60      2.40                      
 23 02/26/2009 Neutral L    78.44  54   71   3A   14 (16- 8) Mount Vernon          -17.13      0.13                      
      Averages              95.57  54.1 53.9

Best game:  117.15 = 32 point win over Burlington
Worst game:  78.44 = 17 point loss to Mount Vernon
Team stdev:  10.87